Match Info

MALTA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 25

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Hibernians Ground (Paola)


	Żebbuġ Rangers		Mosta

	1	X	2
	6.25	5	1.33
	5.75	4.4	1.33
	6.38	4.62	1.39
	7.5	4.5	1.33
	6.85	5	1.35
	6.4	4.9	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.52 ↑ (4.67)	4.74 ↑ (4.35)	1.35 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Żebbuġ Rangers
13.8%

Draw
19.1%

Mosta
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

20.8%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

20.5%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żebbuġ Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Żebbuġ Rangers's form might have worsened.

Mosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mosta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żebbuġ Rangers than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Żebbuġ Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mosta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 6).

Żebbuġ is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mosta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Mosta have a series of home games.

In this match Mosta is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Żebbuġ won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Żebbuġ won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żebbuġ Rangers
Maltese Premier League
10.04.23	Hamrun Spartans - Żebbuġ Rangers	4:0 ✺
01.04.23	Żebbuġ Rangers - Valletta	1:5 ✺
11.03.23	Floriana - Żebbuġ Rangers	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Żebbuġ Rangers - Sirens	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	Pietà Hotspurs - Żebbuġ Rangers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW
- Mosta FC
Maltese Premier League
10.04.23	Mosta - Balzan	2:3 ✺
01.04.23	Gżira United - Mosta	1:2 ✺
11.03.23	Mosta - Birkirkara	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Mosta - Hamrun Spartans	1:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
26.02.23	Mosta - San Ġwann	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
04.12.22	Mosta - Żebbuġ Rangers	2:0
07.12.14	Żebbuġ Rangers - Mosta	1:1
27.08.14	Mosta - Żebbuġ Rangers	2:0

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