Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - ROUND 9

Date: 3 November 2022, Thursday


	Żurrieq		Vittoriosa Stars

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.25	4.5
	1.59	3.65	4.4
	1.63	3.9	4.69
	1.61	3.88	4.55
	1.62	3.8	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.97)	3.7 ↑ (3.5)	4.55 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Żurrieq
55.6%

Draw
24.5%

Vittoriosa Stars
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

26.1%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

25.1%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żurrieq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Żurrieq's performance.

Vittoriosa Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vittoriosa Stars might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Żurrieq than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Żurrieq that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vittoriosa Stars than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vittoriosa Stars could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Żurrieq - Vittoriosa Stars Predictions

Users Predictions: Żurrieq will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group) and 15 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group)).

Recent matches Żurrieq is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vittoriosa is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vittoriosa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Żurrieq will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żurrieq FC
Maltese Challenge League
30.10.22	St. Andrews - Żurrieq	3:1 ✺
22.10.22	Żurrieq - Mtarfa	1:0 ✺
16.10.22	Żurrieq - Attard	1:2 ✺
09.10.22	Fgura United - Żurrieq	1:4 ✺
10.09.22	Marsaskala - Żurrieq	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWLWW
- Vittoriosa Stars
Maltese Challenge League
30.10.22	Vittoriosa Stars - Swieqi United	0:3 ✺
15.10.22	Lija Athletic - Vittoriosa Stars	2:0 ✺
09.10.22	Vittoriosa Stars - Melita	0:4 ✺
02.10.22	San Ġwann - Vittoriosa Stars	3:1 ✺
11.09.22	Vittoriosa Stars - Mqabba	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLLW

Żurrieq - Vittoriosa Stars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide