Match Info

Challenge League - Round 15

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Vittoriosa Stars		Melita

	1	X	2
	5.9	4.25	1.42
	6.46	4.58	1.38
	6.64	4.57	1.38	Watch
	6.5	4	1.36
	6.15	4.31	1.46
	6.33	4.5	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.33 ↑ (4.65)	4.37 ↑ (3.86)	1.39 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vittoriosa Stars
14.3%

Draw
20.7%

Melita
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

23.2%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

22.8%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vittoriosa Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Melita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melita's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vittoriosa Stars than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melita than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melita, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vittoriosa Stars - Melita Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Grech Z. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).

Vittoriosa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Melita is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Melita is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vittoriosa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:14. (average 0.6:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Vittoriosa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.3:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Vittoriosa	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
7	Melita	2	1	0	1	4:2	2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vittoriosa Stars
Maltese Challenge League
08.02.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Marsa	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	St. Andrews - Vittoriosa Stars	3:3 ✺
17.01.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Balzan - Vittoriosa Stars	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Vittoriosa Stars	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TTTLW
- Melita FC
Maltese Challenge League
08.02.26	Melita - Balzan	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Santa Lucia - Melita	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Żebbuġ Rangers - Melita	1:4 ✺
11.01.26	Melita - Marsa	3:2 ✺
21.12.25	Melita - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
09.10.22	Vittoriosa Stars - Melita	0:4
05.03.22	Melita - Vittoriosa Stars	3:0
28.11.21	Vittoriosa Stars - Melita	0:3
02.04.18	Melita - Vittoriosa Stars	2:2
10.12.17	Vittoriosa Stars - Melita	1:2

Vittoriosa Stars - Melita: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide