Match Info

Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Żurrieq		Żebbuġ Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.85	4.25
	1.64	3.99	4.09
	1.69	4.38	3.66	Watch
	1.62	3.75	4
	1.58	4.05	4.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.48)	4 ↓ (4.2)	4.1 ↓ (5.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Żurrieq
55.4%

Draw
22.6%

Żebbuġ Rangers
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

21.8%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

21.5%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żurrieq has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Żurrieq's form might have worsened.

Żebbuġ Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Żebbuġ Rangers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żurrieq than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Żurrieq, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Żebbuġ Rangers than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Żebbuġ Rangers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Żurrieq - Żebbuġ Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Opajobi O. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, MacKay S. ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, Chetcuti I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 1 - 3, Sultana N. ⚽,
61', 2 - 3, Grech S. ⚽,
85', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Żurrieq may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Żurrieq has had a series of away games.

Recently, Żebbuġ has had a series of home games.

In this match, Żurrieq is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Żurrieq won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 3.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Żurrieq won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Zurrieq	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
16	Zebbug	2	0	0	2	1:7	-6	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żurrieq FC
Maltese Challenge League
07.03.26	Mtarfa - Żurrieq	0:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
04.03.26	Żurrieq - Naxxar Lions	1:2 ET ✺
Maltese Challenge League
28.02.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Żurrieq	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Gudja United - Żurrieq	0:3 ✺
14.02.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Żurrieq	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWL
- Żebbuġ Rangers
Maltese Challenge League
08.03.26	Żebbuġ Rangers - Mġarr United	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Żebbuġ Rangers - Mtarfa	6:0 ✺
21.02.26	Santa Lucia - Żebbuġ Rangers	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Żebbuġ Rangers - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	0:3 ✺
07.02.26	Żebbuġ Rangers - St. Andrews	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
17.12.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Żurrieq	1:4
26.10.24	Żurrieq - Żebbuġ Rangers	1:0
16.09.23	Żebbuġ Rangers - Żurrieq	0:5

Żurrieq - Żebbuġ Rangers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide