Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 33

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: LFF stadionas (Vilnius) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Abramavicius O. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Lithuania	17:00	LNK


	Žalgiris		Hegelmann Litauen

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.80	6.50
	1.30	4.60	6.75
	1.32	5.53	8.58
	1.39	4.93	6.8	Watch
	1.29	5.45	8.45
	1.33	5.40	7.56	Watch
	1.32	4.90	7.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.37)	5.09 ↑ (4.92)	7.38 ↑ (6.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris
69.4%

Draw
18.1%

Hegelmann Litauen
12.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.6%

18.8%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

17.9%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Hegelmann Litauen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hegelmann Litauen than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Žalgiris will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sarkauskas V. (G) 13. Upstas K. 4. Koy Lupano D. 15. Bosancic P. 18. Sesplaukis D. 22. Verbickas O. (C) 77. Kendysh Y. 27. Vareika M. 10. Golubickas P. 7. Mihajlovic N. 19. Bilenkyi S.	1. Paukste L. (G) 16. Remeikis M. 30. Isaac B. 44. Nathan Silva 8. Armanavicius V. (C) 37. Radonja V. 77. Wesley 67. Kaulinis A. 27. Richard 9. Kazlauskas D. 21. Kausinis E.
Substitutes
8. Antal L. 29. Bicka K. 6. Capan M. 3. Fogning S. 9. Jarusevicius G. 44. Matyzonok P. 1. Olses C. (G) 11. Petkovic N. 14. Setkus M. 70. Teixeira B. 5. Turda G. 16. Usavicius J.	31. Bagdonavicius R. (G) 7. Duke C. 6. Harouna A. 20. Jonaitis L. 10. Oum Gouet S. 19. Pasilys D. 5. Puerto A. 18. Sadauskas R. 45. Shchedryi A. 24. Sinkevicius D. 26. Slendzoka D.
Coaches
Skerla A.	Vilkevicius T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Golubickas P. ⚽, Sesplaukis D. (A),
33', Sesplaukis D. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Wesley ⚽,
39', Mihajlovic N. 🟨,
45+1', Bosancic P. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
58', Remeikis M. ↓, Harouna A. ↑,
60', 2 - 1, Bilenkyi S. ⚽, Mihajlovic N. (A),
61', Armanavicius V. 🟨,
65', Upstas K. ↓, Setkus M. ↑,
65', Mihajlovic N. ↓, Teixeira B. ↑,
65', Verbickas O. ↓, Antal L. ↑,
68', Kausinis E. ↓, Pasilys D. ↑,
68', Kazlauskas D. ↓, Shchedryi A. ↑,
71', Harouna A. 🟨,
71', 3 - 1, Vareika M. ⚽,
73', Vareika M. ↓, Capan M. ↑,
79', Armanavicius V. ↓, Jonaitis L. ↑,
81', Golubickas P. ↓, Jarusevicius G. ↑,
84', Isaac B. 🟨,
86', Capan M. 🟨,
90+2', 4 - 1, Teixeira B. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Hegelmann could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Žalgiris as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Žalgiris has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:29 (averaging 1.4:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Žalgiris against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 17:16 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Zalgiris	31	15	6	10	49:35	14	51
8	Hegelmann	31	4	14	13	32:54	-22	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Vilnius
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
10.10.26	Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Žalgiris - Panevėžys	0:2 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
19.09.26	Transinvest - Žalgiris	3:0 ✺
16.09.26	Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLWT
- Hegelmann Litauen
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
20.09.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	FA Šiauliai - Hegelmann Litauen	0:0 ✺
07.09.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Panevėžys	1:3 ✺
31.08.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Hegelmann Litauen	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Banga Gargždai	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
27.07.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Žalgiris	2:3
24.05.26	Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen	1:3
22.03.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Žalgiris	0:0
Club Friendly
08.02.26	Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen	1:0
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
02.11.25	Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen	3:1
24.08.25	Hegelmann Litauen - Žalgiris	2:2
24.06.25	Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen	0:1

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