Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 15

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: LFF stadionas (Vilnius)

Referee: Svegzda D. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	BTV, LNK


	Žalgiris		Hegelmann Litauen

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.9	5
	1.45	4.15	5.7	Watch
	1.48	4.35	6.37
	1.47	4.48	6.08	Watch
	1.44	3.9	5.75
	1.44	4.05	6.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.57)	4.14 ↑ (3.83)	5.86 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris
62.3%

Draw
22.1%

Hegelmann Litauen
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

23.7%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

22.3%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Hegelmann Litauen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hegelmann Litauen than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Žalgiris will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Hegelmann will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olses C. (G) 13. Upstas K. 44. Matyzonok P. 15. Bosancic P. 23. Mamatsashvili S. 77. Kendysh Y. (C) 6. Capan M. 7. Mihajlovic N. 10. Golubickas P. 70. Teixeira B. 11. Petkovic N.	31. Bagdonavicius R. (G) 37. Radonja V. 18. Sadauskas R. 30. Isaac B. 67. Kaulinis A. 9. Kazlauskas D. 8. Armanavicius V. (C) 10. Oum Gouet S. 16. Remeikis M. 11. Njoya A. 77. Wesley
Substitutes
8. Antal L. 29. Bicka K. 9. Jarusevicius G. 25. Pavilonis V. 12. Sarkauskas V. (G) 30. Seck O. 18. Sesplaukis D. 14. Setkus M. 27. Vareika M. 22. Verbickas O.	6. Harouna A. 20. Jonaitis L. 71. Jonavicius E. 80. Kolendo L. (G) 19. Pasilys D. 24. Sinkevicius D. 42. Sinkevicius R. 55. Stelmokas N.
Coaches
Skerla A.	Aramburu Erneta M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Wesley ⚽, Radonja V. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Capan M. ⚽, Mamatsashvili S. (A),
38', 1 - 2, Wesley ⚽,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
66', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
71', 1 - 3, Njoya A. ⚽,
74', 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Žalgiris has had a series of away games.

In this match, Žalgiris is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.6:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Zalgiris	28	13	5	10	41:34	7	44
8	Hegelmann	29	4	14	11	31:48	-17	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Vilnius
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
17.05.26	Transinvest - Žalgiris	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Žalgiris	1:1 ✺
06.05.26	Žalgiris - FA Šiauliai	3:1 ✺
03.05.26	Panevėžys - Žalgiris	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Žalgiris	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTWLW
- Hegelmann Litauen
Lithuanian Cup
20.05.26	Transinvest - Hegelmann Litauen	2:0 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
16.05.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Hegelmann Litauen - FA Šiauliai	1:1 ✺
06.05.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Panevėžys	3:2 ✺
01.05.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Hegelmann Litauen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
22.03.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Žalgiris	0:0
Club Friendly
08.02.26	Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen	1:0
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
02.11.25	Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen	3:1
24.08.25	Hegelmann Litauen - Žalgiris	2:2
24.06.25	Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen	0:1
20.04.25	Hegelmann Litauen - Žalgiris	2:1
Club Friendly
30.01.25	Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen	2:3

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