The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gent 53.5%
Draw 24.7%
Kortrijk 21.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.3%
23.1%
19.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.1%
22.8%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Kortrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kortrijk than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
5%
15%
Gent - Kortrijk Predictions
Users Predictions:
Gent will win
(16 of 20 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Vandenberghe T. (G) 18. Samoise M. 23. Torunarigha J. 2. Kotto S. 20. Araujo T. 15. Ito A. 5. Lopes L. 16. Delorge-Knieper M. 24. Kums S. 14. Vanzeir D. 45. Goore H.
95. Pirard L. (G) 93. Duverne J. 4. Mampassi M. 33. Tsunoda R. 5. Ndjeungoue J. 27. Sissako A. 6. Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 68. Ambrose T. 16. Dejaegere B. (C) 11. De Neve D. 10. Kadri A.
Substitutes
30. De Schrevel C. (G) 22. Fadiga N. 12. Gambor H. 8. Gerkens P. 9. Gudjohnsen A. 10. Omgba A. 11. Sonko M. L. 19. Surdez F. 29. Varela H.
17. Bruno M. 9. Czubak K. 8. Dermane K. 13. De Vlaeminck E. (G) 20. Dewaele G. 32. Gueye M. 23. Ilaimaharitra M. 18. Kostons K. 19. Nacho
Coaches
Milicevic D.
Storck B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45+4', 0 - 1, Ambrose T. ⚽, Mehssatou Sepulveda N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Sissako A. 🟨,
59', Kums S. ↓, Sonko M. L. ↑,
64', De Neve D. ↓, Kostons K. ↑,
64', Dejaegere B. ↓, Ilaimaharitra M. ↑,
70', 0 - 2, Ilaimaharitra M. ⚽, Kostons K. (A),
72', Goore H. ↓, Varela H. ↑,
72', Delorge-Knieper M. ↓, Omgba A. ↑,
73', Araujo T. ↓, Gambor H. ↑,
82', Mampassi M. 🟨,
85', Ambrose T. 🟨,
89', Ambrose T. ↓, Dermane K. ↑,
89', Kadri A. ↓, Nacho ↑,
90', Samoise M. ↓, Fadiga N. ↑,
90', Pirard L. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Fadiga N. ⚽,
90+5', Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ↓, Dewaele G. ↑,
90+7', Ndjeungoue J. 🟥,
90+7', Fadiga N. 🟨,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
Kortrijk is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gent won 5.
Gent is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Kortrijk is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Kortrijk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Gent is a favorite.
There will not play in Gent: Dean M.
(Knee Injury)
Fadiga N.
(Heart Problems)
Gandelman O.
(Injury)
Gerkens P.
(Injury)
Hjulsager A.
(Calf Injury)
Mitrovic S.
(Injury)
Roef D.
(Broken Hand)
There will not play in Kortrijk: Ilaimaharitra M.
(Inactive)
Ilic M.
(Broken jawbone)
Kadri A.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Gent: Brown A.
(Injury)
Watanabe T.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Kortrijk: Fujii H.
(Shin Injury)
Gunnarsson P.
(Knock)
Lagae B.
(Inactive)
Our prediction for today's Gent to win the game is with odds 1.69.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Gent won 12 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 35:18 (average 1.8:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Gent won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21:9 (average 2.3:1).