Match Info

Date: 12 August 2021, Thursday


	Žilina		Tobol Kostanay

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.5	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.1
	2	3.55	3.55	Watch
	1.94	3.4	3.2
	1.99	3.53	3.67
				Watch
	1.95	3.8	3.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.68)	3.56 ↓ (3.71)	3.4 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žilina
47.1%

Draw
25.8%

Tobol Kostanay
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

24.7%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

20.2%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žilina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Žilina's form might have worsened.

Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tobol Kostanay's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žilina than the current prediction. (+19.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Žilina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tobol Kostanay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.2%	9.1%	22.7%

Žilina - Tobol Kostanay Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Žilina will win (votes: 30 - 68.2%). Tobol will win (votes: 10 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Žilina: 54.4% – 82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.

Žilina in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tobol is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Žilina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Žilina will have a small advantage in this match.

Žilina will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Žilina won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MSK Žilina
Slovak Superliga
08.08.21	Žilina - Pohronie	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.08.21	Tobol Kostanay - Žilina	0:1 ✺
Slovak Superliga
01.08.21	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - Žilina	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.21	Žilina - Apollon Limassol	2:2 ✺
Slovak Superliga
25.07.21	Žilina - Sered	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWTW
- Tobol Kostanay
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.08.21	Tobol Kostanay - Žilina	0:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
01.08.21	Makhtaaral - Tobol Kostanay	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.21	Tobol Kostanay - Hajduk Split	4:1 ET ✺
Kazakh Cup
25.07.21	Tobol Kostanay - Makhtaaral	3:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.07.21	Hajduk Split - Tobol Kostanay	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
05.08.21	Tobol Kostanay - Žilina	0:1
Club Friendly
25.01.20	Tobol Kostanay - Žilina	1:1

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