Match Info

OTHERS - MEN: United States Smash - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday


	Dang Qiu		Dimitrij Ovtcharov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.60
	1.43	2.61
	1.43	2.49
	1.45	2.59	Watch
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.56)	2.57 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 74.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dang Qiu
64%

Dimitrij Ovtcharov
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dang Qiu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dang Qiu's performance.

Dimitrij Ovtcharov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dimitrij Ovtcharov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dang Qiu than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dimitrij Ovtcharov than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Dang Qiu - Dimitrij Ovtcharov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 36:39

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Preview

Qiu is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ovtcharov has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Qiu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Qiu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Qiu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 2:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dang Qiu
Table Tennis
29.06.26	Dang Qiu - Csaba Andras	3:0 ✺
21.06.26	Dang Qiu - Shunsuke Togami	2:3 ✺
20.06.26	Guan-Hong Kuo - Dang Qiu	0:3 ✺
20.06.26	Chun Ting Wong - Dang Qiu	0:3 ✺
19.06.26	Yi-Hsin Feng - Dang Qiu	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWW
- Dimitrij Ovtcharov
Table Tennis
29.06.26	Joe Seyfried - Dimitrij Ovtcharov	1:3 ✺
20.06.26	Shunsuke Togami - Dimitrij Ovtcharov	3:0 ✺
20.06.26	Dimitrij Ovtcharov - Yukiya Uda	3:2 ✺
19.06.26	Dimitrij Ovtcharov - Joe Seyfried	3:1 ✺
11.06.26	Dimitrij Ovtcharov - Jonghoon Lim	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Table Tennis
21.08.25	Dang Qiu - Dimitrij Ovtcharov	3:2
02.08.25	Dimitrij Ovtcharov - Dang Qiu	3:1
27.01.24	Dang Qiu - Dimitrij Ovtcharov	2:3

Dang Qiu - Dimitrij Ovtcharov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide