Match Info

OTHERS - MEN: China Smash - 1/32-finals

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Dimitrij Ovtcharov		Hugo Calderano

	1	2
			Watch
	2.72	1.40
	2.76	1.39
	2.95	1.35
	2.94	1.36	Watch
	3.00	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.75)	1.37 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 74.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dimitrij Ovtcharov
32.2%

Hugo Calderano
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dimitrij Ovtcharov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Hugo Calderano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dimitrij Ovtcharov than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Calderano than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

#ad

Preview

Ovtcharov has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Calderano is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Calderano holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Calderano in today's match, at odds of 1.41.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Ovtcharov has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:11 (averaging 1.8:2.8 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Calderano - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 66.11%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dimitrij Ovtcharov
Table Tennis
19.09.26	Qihao Zhou - Dimitrij Ovtcharov	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Ryuusei Kawakami - Dimitrij Ovtcharov	1:3 ✺
18.09.26	Cedric Nuytinck - Dimitrij Ovtcharov	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Elias Ranefur - Dimitrij Ovtcharov	4:3 ✺
12.09.26	Cedric Nuytinck - Dimitrij Ovtcharov	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLW
- Hugo Calderano
Table Tennis
13.09.26	Hugo Calderano - Truls Moregard	1:4 ✺
13.09.26	Hugo Calderano - Anton Kallberg	4:0 ✺
12.09.26	Sora Matsushima - Hugo Calderano	2:4 ✺
10.09.26	Tomislav Pucar - Hugo Calderano	1:3 ✺
08.09.26	Nicholas Lum - Hugo Calderano	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Table Tennis
08.01.26	Dimitrij Ovtcharov - Hugo Calderano	3:2
01.06.24	Hugo Calderano - Dimitrij Ovtcharov	3:2
28.01.24	Hugo Calderano - Dimitrij Ovtcharov	3:1
20.04.23	Dimitrij Ovtcharov - Hugo Calderano	1:3

Dimitrij Ovtcharov - Hugo Calderano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide