Match Info

OTHERS - MEN: Europe Smash - Sweden - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday


	Joao Geraldo		Thibault Poret

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.02	1.7
	2.05	1.64
	2.06	1.68
	2.09	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.08)	1.66 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 75.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Geraldo
44.5%

Thibault Poret
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Geraldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Thibault Poret has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Geraldo than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joao Geraldo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thibault Poret than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thibault Poret could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Joao Geraldo - Thibault Poret Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 39:39

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Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Poret may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Poret will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Geraldo
Table Tennis
11.08.26	Finn Luu - Joao Geraldo	0:3 ✺
06.08.26	Joao Geraldo - Hiroto Shinozuka	1:3 ✺
03.08.26	Ruibo Wen - Joao Geraldo	1:3 ✺
02.07.26	Felix Lebrun - Joao Geraldo	3:0 ✺
30.06.26	Joao Geraldo - Darko Jorgic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WLWLW
- Thibault Poret
Table Tennis
11.08.26	Thibault Poret - Patrick Franziska	3:2 ✺
25.07.26	Patrick Franziska - Thibault Poret	3:1 ✺
24.07.26	Wim Verdonschot - Thibault Poret	2:3 ✺
29.06.26	Benedikt Duda - Thibault Poret	3:0 ✺
19.06.26	Simon Gauzy - Thibault Poret	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWLL

Joao Geraldo - Thibault Poret: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide