Match Info

OTHERS - MEN: United States Smash - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday


	Kristian Karlsson		Joao Geraldo

	1	2
	1.57	2.25
	1.58	2.26
	1.39	2.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.56)	2.4 ↑ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kristian Karlsson
61.3%

Joao Geraldo
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kristian Karlsson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Joao Geraldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristian Karlsson than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kristian Karlsson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Geraldo than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joao Geraldo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Karlsson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Karlsson is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Karlsson won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kristian Karlsson
Table Tennis
03.07.25	Kristian Karlsson - Mehdi Bouloussa	3:1 ✺
17.06.25	Kristian Karlsson - Jinbao Ma	1:3 ✺
13.06.25	Kristian Karlsson - Benedikt Duda	2:3 ✺
12.06.25	Angel Naranjo - Kristian Karlsson	1:3 ✺
21.05.25	Shidong Lin - Kristian Karlsson	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLWL
- Joao Geraldo
Table Tennis
04.07.25	Florian Bourrassaud - Joao Geraldo	0:3 ✺
24.06.25	Joao Geraldo - Gyuhyeon Park	2:3 ✺
18.06.25	Jinbao Ma - Joao Geraldo	3:2 ✺
17.06.25	Joao Geraldo - Joe Seyfried	3:0 ✺
17.06.25	Joao Geraldo - Ruwen Filus	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Table Tennis
20.02.25	Kristian Karlsson - Joao Geraldo	0:3

Kristian Karlsson - Joao Geraldo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide