Match Info

OTHERS - MEN: WTT Champions Montpellier - Semi-finals

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Truls Moregard		Alexis Lebrun

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.85	1.85
	1.77	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.77)	1.86 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truls Moregard
50.5%

Alexis Lebrun
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truls Moregard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Alexis Lebrun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truls Moregard than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Truls Moregard that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexis Lebrun than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexis Lebrun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moregard won 2.

Moregard is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lebrun is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lebrun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Moregard won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.8:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truls Moregard
Table Tennis
01.11.25	Dang Qiu - Truls Moregard	2:4 ✺
31.10.25	Dimitrij Ovtcharov - Truls Moregard	1:3 ✺
30.10.25	Anton Kallberg - Truls Moregard	0:3 ✺
02.10.25	Truls Moregard - Yukiya Uda	1:3 ✺
30.09.25	Truls Moregard - Omar Assar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLW
- Alexis Lebrun
Table Tennis
01.11.25	Darko Jorgic - Alexis Lebrun	2:4 ✺
31.10.25	Alexis Lebrun - Tomokazu Harimoto	3:2 ✺
29.10.25	Quadri Aruna - Alexis Lebrun	0:3 ✺
19.10.25	Alexis Lebrun - Eduard Ionescu	Canceled ✺
17.10.25	Alexis Lebrun - Cedric Nuytinck	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWW??

Latest Head to Head

Table Tennis
25.10.24	Alexis Lebrun - Truls Moregard	3:1
20.10.24	Alexis Lebrun - Truls Moregard	4:0
21.01.24	Alexis Lebrun - Truls Moregard	1:4
07.07.23	Truls Moregard - Alexis Lebrun	3:1
17.04.23	Alexis Lebrun - Truls Moregard	3:2
12.04.23	Alexis Lebrun - Truls Moregard	3:1

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