Match Info

OTHERS - MEN: United States Smash - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 July 2025, Wednesday


	Yuta Tanaka		Truls Moregard

	1	2
			Watch
	3.4	1.27	Watch
	3.81	1.23
	3.71	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (2.75)	1.24 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuta Tanaka
25.4%

Truls Moregard
74.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuta Tanaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yuta Tanaka's form might have worsened.

Truls Moregard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Truls Moregard's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Tanaka than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yuta Tanaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truls Moregard than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Truls Moregard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Yuta Tanaka - Truls Moregard Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Tanaka will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Moregard will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

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Preview

Recent performances by Tanaka have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Moregard is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Moregard could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Moregard will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuta Tanaka
Table Tennis
07.07.25	Horacio Cifuentes - Yuta Tanaka	1:3 ✺
20.06.25	Yuta Tanaka - Sora Matsushima	0:3 ✺
19.06.25	Yuta Tanaka - Lilian Bardet	3:1 ✺
14.06.25	Tomislav Pucar - Yuta Tanaka	3:0 ✺
13.06.25	Yuta Tanaka - Sora Matsushima	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLW
- Truls Moregard
Table Tennis
07.07.25	Izaac Quek - Truls Moregard	1:3 ✺
24.05.25	Truls Moregard - Chuqin Wang	1:4 ✺
23.05.25	Shunsuke Togami - Truls Moregard	2:4 ✺
22.05.25	Woojin Jang - Truls Moregard	3:4 ✺
21.05.25	Cheng Jui Kao - Truls Moregard	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW

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