Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tiburon, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Abedallah Shelbayh		Dmitry Popko

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.62	2.18	Watch
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.69	2.25
	1.13	5.51	Watch
	1.6	2.26	Watch
	1.56	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.44)	2.73 ↑ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Abedallah Shelbayh
64.2%

Dmitry Popko
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abedallah Shelbayh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Dmitry Popko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abedallah Shelbayh than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dmitry Popko than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Abedallah Shelbayh - Dmitry Popko Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Shelbayh will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Popko will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelbayh: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shelbayh (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shelbayh is ranked ATP: 437. Popko is ranked ATP: 214.

Shelbayh is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Popko's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Shelbayh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shelbayh might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Shelbayh will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shelbayh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Dmitry Popko - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.51%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abedallah Shelbayh
ATP Challenger
01.10.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Alfredo Perez	2:1 ✺
30.09.25	Jurij Rodionov - Abedallah Shelbayh	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Jurij Rodionov - Abedallah Shelbayh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWWW
- Dmitry Popko
ATP Challenger
01.10.25	Bor Artnak - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Federico Bondioli - Dmitry Popko	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	Dmitry Popko - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Dmitry Popko - Quinn Vandecasteele	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Luciano Darderi - Dmitry Popko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.09.22	Abedallah Shelbayh - Dmitry Popko	2:1

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