Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday


	Luciano Darderi		Dmitry Popko

	1	2
	1.11	6.5	Watch
	1.11	5.5	Watch
	1.1	5.8
	1.10	6.12	Watch
			Watch
	1.1	5.95	Watch
	1.14	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.14)	5.9 ↑ (5.5)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
84.2%

Dmitry Popko
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.8%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Dmitry Popko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Luciano Darderi - Dmitry Popko Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Popko (2.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +5.5 Games - Popko (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Popko (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 34. Popko is ranked ATP: 237.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Popko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Darderi is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Darderi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Luciano Darderi - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.25	Luciano Darderi - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
27.08.25	Luciano Darderi - Eliot Spizzirri	3:1 ✺
24.08.25	Luciano Darderi - Rinky Hijikata	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWL
- Dmitry Popko
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Marco Cecchinato - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Dmitry Popko - Dimitar Kuzmanov	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Ugo Blanchet - Dmitry Popko	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Dmitry Popko - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.08.25	Timofey Skatov - Dmitry Popko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.03.22	Dmitry Popko - Luciano Darderi	0:2

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