Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Madrid 3, hard - 1/16-finalsDate: 26 November 2025, Wednesday
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Abel Forger |
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Yaroslav Demin |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.39 |
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2.82 |
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1.39 |
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2.70 |
Watch |
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1.37 |
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2.84 |
Watch |
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.38 ↓ (1.39) |
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2.79 ↑ (2.7) |
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- The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Abel Forger 66.8% | Yaroslav Demin 33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Abel Forger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Yaroslav Demin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abel Forger than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yaroslav Demin than the current prediction. (-5%)Abel Forger - Yaroslav Demin Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Forger is ranked ATP: 789. Demin is ranked ATP: 1027.Forger has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).Demin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Forger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Forger might have a minor edge in this game.We predict that Forger will win today's game, with odds of 1.39. The players have not played against each other recently.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;