Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Mallorca, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 June 2026, Wednesday


	Adam Walton		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.90	1.40
	2.9	1.35	Watch
	3.04	1.46
	2.95	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.02)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adam Walton
32.2%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adam Walton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adam Walton than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	0%	43.7%

Adam Walton - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Walton will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Walton: 32% – 80.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Davidovich Fokina (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Walton is ranked ATP: 92. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 25.

Walton is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Davidovich Fokina has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Walton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Davidovich Fokina is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 68.17%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adam Walton
ATP Mallorca
22.06.26	Adam Walton - Nick Kyrgios	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Adam Walton - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Adam Walton - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
ATP London
13.06.26	Harry Wendelken - Adam Walton	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.06.26	Adam Walton - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP London
19.06.26	Tommy Paul - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Corentin Moutet - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Cameron Norrie - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
08.06.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLL

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