Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.4	1.66
	2.01	1.8
	2.3	1.62
	2.31	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.34)	1.68 ↑ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
42.6%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Tirante will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tirante: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 23. Tirante is ranked ATP: 60.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Davidovich Fokina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Davidovich Fokina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Augustin Tirante - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 58.82%, but this team recently wins 65% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Damir Dzumhur	3:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
20.05.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
18.05.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.26	Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Christian Garin - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
18.05.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
12.05.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Flavio Cobolli - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stockholm
16.10.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0

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