Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday


	Adam Walton		Nicolas Mejia

	1	2
	1.50	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.60	Watch
	1.53	2.50	Watch
	1.55	2.70
	1.48	2.65	Watch
	1.51	2.60	Watch
	1.55	2.62	Watch
	1.53	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.5)	2.61 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adam Walton
63.3%

Nicolas Mejia
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adam Walton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adam Walton than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Adam Walton - Nicolas Mejia Predictions

Users Predictions: Adam Walton will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Walton is ranked ATP: 97. Mejia is ranked ATP: 129.

Recent performances by Walton have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mejia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mejia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Walton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adam Walton
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Adam Walton - Jenson Brooksby	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Adam Walton - Justin Boulais	2:0 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
29.07.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Adam Walton	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.07.26	Michael Zheng - Adam Walton	2:1 ✺
22.07.26	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Adam Walton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLW
- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.26	Henrique Rocha - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
13.08.26	Nicolas Mejia - Jacob Fearnley	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Nicolas Mejia - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Nicolas Mejia - Martin Landaluce	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Marco Trungelliti - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WWLWW

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