The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marco Trungelliti 56.3%
Nicolas Mejia 43.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66.2%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.8%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marco Trungelliti's form might have worsened.
Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Mejia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco Trungelliti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Mejia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
Marco Trungelliti - Nicolas Mejia Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Mejia will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 91.Mejia is ranked ATP: 131.
Recent performances by Trungelliti have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Mejia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Trungelliti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Trungelliti is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
The players have not played against each other recently.
Last Results with these Odds
Marco Trungelliti - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 66.19%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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