Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 2 (Greece), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday


	Adria Soriano Barrera		Aslan Karatsev

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	3	1.34	Watch
	3.26	1.32	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.08	1.34	Watch
	3	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.2)	1.35 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adria Soriano Barrera
30.7%

Aslan Karatsev
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adria Soriano Barrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Aslan Karatsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adria Soriano Barrera than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Adria Soriano Barrera - Aslan Karatsev Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Soriano Barrera will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Karatsev will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Soriano Barrera is ranked ATP: 340. Karatsev is ranked ATP: 207.

Recent matches Soriano Barrera is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Karatsev is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Soriano Barrera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Karatsev is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Karatsev to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adria Soriano Barrera
ATP Challenger
11.03.25	Pavlo Tsitsipas - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Ryan Peniston - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.02.25	Adria Soriano Barrera - Ryan Peniston	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Adria Soriano Barrera - Cezar Cretu	2:1 ✺
20.02.25	Adria Soriano Barrera - Joao Graca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWW
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Challenger
11.03.25	Marko Topo - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Aslan Karatsev - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
06.03.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Aslan Karatsev	1:2 ✺
05.03.25	Dino Prizmic - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Aslan Karatsev - Petros Tsitsipas	Tsitsipas Pe. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWW?

Adria Soriano Barrera - Aslan Karatsev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide