Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 2 (Greece), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday


	Marko Topo		Aslan Karatsev

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.65	1.43	Watch
	2.67	1.45	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.66	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.46)	1.44 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marko Topo
35.5%

Aslan Karatsev
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marko Topo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Marko Topo - Aslan Karatsev Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Topo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Karatsev will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Topo is ranked ATP: 397. Karatsev is ranked ATP: 207.

Topo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Karatsev is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Karatsev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Karatsev will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marko Topo
ATP Challenger
10.03.25	Marko Topo - Filippo Romano	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Marko Topo - Demetris Azoides	Azoidis D. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.03.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
01.03.25	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Marko Topo	Boitan G. A. retired ✺
27.02.25	Marko Topo - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 W?W?W
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Challenger
07.03.25	Aslan Karatsev - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
06.03.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Aslan Karatsev	1:2 ✺
05.03.25	Dino Prizmic - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Aslan Karatsev - Petros Tsitsipas	Tsitsipas Pe. retired ✺
11.02.25	Jesper De Jong - Aslan Karatsev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWW?L

Marko Topo - Aslan Karatsev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide