Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 July 2025, Tuesday


	Adria Soriano Barrera		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.45	1.48	Watch
	2.55	1.46	Watch
	2.66	1.49
	6.51	1.09	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.48	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.18)	1.41 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adria Soriano Barrera
31.1%

Luca Van Assche
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adria Soriano Barrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adria Soriano Barrera's form might have worsened.

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Van Assche's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adria Soriano Barrera than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adria Soriano Barrera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Van Assche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Adria Soriano Barrera - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Soriano Barrera will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Van Assche will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Van Assche: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Soriano Barrera (votes: 2 - 50%). Van Assche (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Soriano Barrera is ranked ATP: 289. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 183.

Soriano Barrera is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Van Assche is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Soriano Barrera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Adria Soriano Barrera - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 43.38%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adria Soriano Barrera
ATP Challenger
28.07.25	Adria Soriano Barrera - Marc Polmans	2:1 ✺
27.07.25	Adria Soriano Barrera - Hayato Matsuoka	2:1 ✺
25.07.25	Edas Butvilas - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Raul Brancaccio - Adria Soriano Barrera	1:2 ✺
22.07.25	Adria Soriano Barrera - Arthur Bouquier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWW
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Umag
20.07.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Marco Cecchinato - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
13.07.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Francesco Passaro - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Luca Van Assche - Hamish Stewart	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLL

Adria Soriano Barrera - Luca Van Assche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide