Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braga (Portugal), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2024, Monday


	Adrian Andreev		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.6	2.19	Watch
	1.71	2.17
	1.66	2.14	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.16	Watch
	1.6	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.85)	2.2 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Andreev
57.5%

Andrea Pellegrino
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Andreev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adrian Andreev's performance.

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Pellegrino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Andreev than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adrian Andreev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Pellegrino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Adrian Andreev - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Andreev will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Pellegrino will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Andreev is ranked ATP: 214. Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 209.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Pellegrino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Andreev won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Last Results with these Odds

Adrian Andreev - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Andrea Pellegrino - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Andreev
ATP Challenger
24.09.24	Adrian Andreev - Clement Tabur	1:2 ✺
23.09.24	Adrian Andreev - Giovanni Fonio	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Adrian Andreev - Kilian Feldbausch	2:0 ✺
12.09.24	Daniel Altmaier - Adrian Andreev	2:1 ✺
11.09.24	Adrian Andreev - Lucas Gerch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLW
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
24.09.24	Elmer Moeller - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
17.09.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Daniel Elahi Galan	Canceled ✺
15.09.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
14.09.24	Gerard Campana Lee - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
13.09.24	Daniel Altmaier - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 L?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.05.24	Adrian Andreev - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2

Adrian Andreev - Andrea Pellegrino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide