Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LAS FRANQUESAS DEL VALLES (SPAIN), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 22 March 2023, Wednesday


	Adrian Andreev		Gastao Elias

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.7	2.1
	1.73	2.15
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.63	2.18	Watch
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.67)	2.04 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Andreev
54.2%

Gastao Elias
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Andreev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Gastao Elias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Andreev than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gastao Elias than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Adrian Andreev - Gastao Elias Predictions

Users Predictions: Adrian Andreev will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Andreev is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Elias is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Andreev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Andreev
ATP Challenger
20.03.23	Adrian Andreev - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1 ✺
17.03.23	Fabian Marozsan - Adrian Andreev	Andreev A. retired ✺
16.03.23	Mirza Basic - Adrian Andreev	0:2 ✺
14.03.23	Gerald Melzer - Adrian Andreev	1:2 ✺
08.03.23	Adrian Andreev - Antoine Escoffier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 W?WWL
- Gastao Elias
ATP Challenger
21.03.23	Steven Diez - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
10.03.23	Illya Marchenko - Gastao Elias	2:1 ✺
09.03.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
07.03.23	Gastao Elias - Facundo Mena	Mena F. retired ✺
03.03.23	Gastao Elias - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLW?L

Adrian Andreev - Gastao Elias: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide