Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday


	Adrian Andreev		Lilian Marmousez

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.4
	2.8	1.45
	2.95	1.36	Watch
	2.77	1.39	Watch
	2.54	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (1.97)	1.41 ↓ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Andreev
33.9%

Lilian Marmousez
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Andreev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adrian Andreev's form might have worsened.

Lilian Marmousez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lilian Marmousez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Andreev than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adrian Andreev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lilian Marmousez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Adrian Andreev - Lilian Marmousez Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Andreev will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Marmousez will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Marmousez (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Marmousez (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lilian Marmousez will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Marmousez (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Andreev is ranked ATP: 867. Marmousez is ranked ATP: 349.

Andreev has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Marmousez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Andreev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Andreev won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Andreev
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Adrian Andreev - Pol Martin Tiffon	Canceled ✺
17.11.25	Ivan Gakhov - Adrian Andreev	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Adrian Andreev - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
27.10.25	Adrian Andreev - Clement Tabur	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Adrian Andreev - Buvaysar Gadamauri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 ?LLWL
- Lilian Marmousez
ATP Challenger
24.11.25	Lilian Marmousez - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Lilian Marmousez - Leo Raquillet	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Henri Squire - Lilian Marmousez	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Lilian Marmousez	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Lilian Marmousez - Marco Cecchinato	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.02.24	Adrian Andreev - Lilian Marmousez	2:0

Adrian Andreev - Lilian Marmousez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide