Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braga, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday


	Lilian Marmousez		Marco Cecchinato

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
			Watch
	1.85	1.86	Watch
	1.74	2.13
	2.21	1.62	Watch
	1.83	1.89	Watch
	1.96	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.96)	1.84 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lilian Marmousez
49.2%

Marco Cecchinato
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lilian Marmousez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Marco Cecchinato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Lilian Marmousez - Marco Cecchinato Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cecchinato (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Marco Cecchinato will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marmousez is ranked ATP: 359. Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 275.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cecchinato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Marco Cecchinato - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.26%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lilian Marmousez
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Max Houkes - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Alexander Donski - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Orlando Luz - Lilian Marmousez	Marmousez L. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.09.25	Niklas Schell - Lilian Marmousez	Marmousez L. retired ✺
31.08.25	Florian Broska - Lilian Marmousez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WW??L
- Marco Cecchinato
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Ignacio Buse - Marco Cecchinato	Canceled ✺
23.09.25	Marco Cecchinato - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Marco Cecchinato - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Marco Cecchinato - Tiago Cacao	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Marco Cecchinato - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 ?LWWL

Lilian Marmousez - Marco Cecchinato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide