Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 24 November 2025, Monday


	Lilian Marmousez		Tommaso Compagnucci

	1	2
			Watch
	1.25	3.55
	1.35	2.96	Watch
	1.22	3.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.48)	3.45 ↑ (2.53)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lilian Marmousez
73%

Tommaso Compagnucci
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lilian Marmousez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lilian Marmousez's performance.

Tommaso Compagnucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tommaso Compagnucci might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lilian Marmousez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommaso Compagnucci than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tommaso Compagnucci could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lilian Marmousez - Tommaso Compagnucci Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Marmousez will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marmousez is ranked ATP: 349. Compagnucci is ranked ATP: 526.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Compagnucci may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Marmousez will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lilian Marmousez
ATP Challenger
23.11.25	Lilian Marmousez - Leo Raquillet	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Henri Squire - Lilian Marmousez	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Lilian Marmousez	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Lilian Marmousez - Marco Cecchinato	1:2 ✺
29.09.25	Max Houkes - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLW
- Tommaso Compagnucci
ATP Challenger
23.11.25	Tiago Torres - Tommaso Compagnucci	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.11.25	Tommaso Compagnucci - Georgii Kravchenko	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Tommaso Compagnucci - Alec Deckers	2:1 ✺
18.11.25	Tommaso Compagnucci - Robin Catry	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Pietro Marino - Tommaso Compagnucci	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWW?

Lilian Marmousez - Tommaso Compagnucci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide