Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Helsinki - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Henri Squire		Lilian Marmousez

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.22	3.6	Watch
	1.22	3.80	Watch
			Watch
	1.25	3.57	Watch
	1.23	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.4)	3.73 ↑ (2.69)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henri Squire
75.2%

Lilian Marmousez
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henri Squire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henri Squire's performance.

Lilian Marmousez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lilian Marmousez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henri Squire than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henri Squire that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lilian Marmousez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Henri Squire - Lilian Marmousez Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Squire is ranked ATP: 255. Marmousez is ranked ATP: 345.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Marmousez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Squire will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henri Squire
ATP Challenger
24.10.25	George Loffhagen - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Matteo Martineau - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Henri Squire - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Jan Choinski - Henri Squire	2:1 ✺
09.10.25	Sumit Nagal - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLW
- Lilian Marmousez
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Lilian Marmousez	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Lilian Marmousez - Marco Cecchinato	1:2 ✺
29.09.25	Max Houkes - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Alexander Donski - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Orlando Luz - Lilian Marmousez	Marmousez L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWW?

Henri Squire - Lilian Marmousez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide