Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Delray Beach (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday


	Learner Tien		Adam Walton

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.47	2.85
	1.42	2.83	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.67)	2.87 ↑ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Learner Tien
67%

Adam Walton
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Learner Tien's performance.

Adam Walton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adam Walton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Learner Tien that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adam Walton than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adam Walton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Learner Tien - Adam Walton Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Tien will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Walton will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tien: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tien is ranked ATP: 81. Walton is ranked ATP: 88.

Tien is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Walton in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Walton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tien is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tien won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ATP Australian Open
19.01.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Learner Tien	3:1 ✺
17.01.25	Corentin Moutet - Learner Tien	0:3 ✺
16.01.25	Learner Tien - Daniil Medvedev	3:2 ✺
13.01.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Learner Tien	2:3 ✺
08.01.25	Learner Tien - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWWWW
- Adam Walton
ATP Challenger
08.02.25	Adam Walton - Jason Kubler	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Adam Walton - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
07.02.25	Adam Walton - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
05.02.25	Adam Walton - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Adam Walton - Govind Nanda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.10.23	Learner Tien - Adam Walton	0:2

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