Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday


	Adrian Mannarino		Aidan Mayo

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.48	2.45
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.61	2.27	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.62	2.21	Watch
	1.62	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.49)	2.26 ↓ (2.49)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
58.8%

Aidan Mayo
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Aidan Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adrian Mannarino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aidan Mayo than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aidan Mayo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Adrian Mannarino - Aidan Mayo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Mayo will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mayo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mannarino is ranked ATP: 144. Mayo is ranked ATP: 288.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Mayo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mannarino will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Houston
03.04.25	Alex Michelsen - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Adrian Mannarino - Corentin Denolly	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Adrian Mannarino - Naoki Nakagawa	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.03.25	Adrian Mannarino - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	Adrian Mannarino - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLW
- Aidan Mayo
ATP Challenger
04.04.25	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Aidan Mayo	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	Aidan Mayo - Elmar Ejupovic	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Govind Nanda - Aidan Mayo	1:2 ✺
24.03.25	Aidan Mayo - Tyler Zink	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	Aidan Mayo - Trey Hilderbrand	Hilderbrand T. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWL?

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