Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 July 2026, Wednesday


	Alex Michelsen		Adrian Mannarino

	1	2
	1.33	3.40	Watch
	1.34	3.20
	1.32	3.35	Watch
	1.37	3.47
	1.35	3.24	Watch
	1.36	3.30	Watch
	1.33	3.39	Watch
	1.30	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.39)	3.33 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
71.3%

Adrian Mannarino
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Alex Michelsen - Adrian Mannarino Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Michelsen (votes: 1 - 50%). Mannarino (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Michelsen (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Mannarino (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alex Michelsen will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Michelsen (votes: 2 - 50%). Mannarino (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 40. Mannarino is ranked ATP: 47.

Michelsen has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Mannarino has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Michelsen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Michelsen is considered a favorite.

We predict that Michelsen will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Michelsen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Michelsen - the odds 1.39 are the expected chance of winning is 67.06%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Adrian Mannarino - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.94%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Washington
28.07.26	Alex Michelsen - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Alex Michelsen - Jack Draper	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
26.07.26	Alex Michelsen - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Alex Michelsen - Dhakshineswar Suresh	2:1 ✺
24.07.26	Alex Michelsen - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 W?WWW
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Washington
28.07.26	Adrian Mannarino - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.07.26	Adrian Mannarino - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Adrian Mannarino - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.26	Alex De Minaur - Adrian Mannarino	3:0 ✺
30.06.26	Adrian Mannarino - Titouan Droguet	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Houston
03.04.25	Alex Michelsen - Adrian Mannarino	2:1
ATP Mallorca
25.06.24	Adrian Mannarino - Alex Michelsen	0:2
ATP Newport
23.07.23	Alex Michelsen - Adrian Mannarino	0:2

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