Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Alexander Donski		Matthew Donald

	1	2
			Watch
	1.76	1.95	Watch
	1.78	2
	1.77	1.92	Watch
	1.77	1.97	Watch
	1.74	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.74)	1.96 ↓ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Donski
52.7%

Matthew Donald
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Donski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Matthew Donald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Alexander Donski - Matthew Donald Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Donski (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Donski (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Donski is ranked ATP: 717. Donald is ranked ATP: 625.

Recent form of Donski has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Donald has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Donski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Donski
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Alexander Donski - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Sumit Nagal - Alexander Donski	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Alexander Donski - Mert Alkaya	1:2 ✺
20.08.25	Alexander Donski - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Alexander Donski - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLLW
- Matthew Donald
ITF Tournaments
07.10.25	Arthur Nagel - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Matthew Donald - Matyas Cerny	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Matthew Donald - Jiri Cizek	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Hynek Barton - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Matthew Donald - Lukas Pokorny	Donald M. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWL?

Alexander Donski - Matthew Donald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide