Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manzanillo (Mexico), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 November 2024, Wednesday


	Aidan Mayo		Neil Oberleitner

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.4	3.04
	1.38	2.88	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.38	2.89	Watch
	1.37	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.5)	2.88 ↑ (2.49)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aidan Mayo
67.5%

Neil Oberleitner
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aidan Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aidan Mayo's performance.

Neil Oberleitner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neil Oberleitner might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aidan Mayo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neil Oberleitner than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Aidan Mayo - Neil Oberleitner Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mayo will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Oberleitner will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oberleitner: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mayo is ranked ATP: 290. Oberleitner is ranked ATP: 426.

Mayo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Oberleitner is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oberleitner could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mayo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aidan Mayo
ATP Challenger
26.11.24	Aidan Mayo - Maxwell McKennon	2:0 ✺
22.11.24	Liam Draxl - Aidan Mayo	2:0 ✺
20.11.24	Keegan Smith - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
19.11.24	Aidan Mayo - Aziz Dougaz	2:1 ✺
17.11.24	Chris Rodesch - Aidan Mayo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWWW
- Neil Oberleitner
ATP Challenger
25.11.24	Neil Oberleitner - Guillermo Delgadillo	2:0 ✺
18.11.24	Giles Hussey - Neil Oberleitner	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.11.24	Tom Paris - Neil Oberleitner	2:1 ✺
08.11.24	Peter Fajta - Neil Oberleitner	0:2 ✺
07.11.24	Nicolas Ifi - Neil Oberleitner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWW

Aidan Mayo - Neil Oberleitner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide