Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SYDNEY (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 30 October 2023, Monday


	Ajeet Rai		Philip Sekulic

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.3
	3.2	1.32
	3.29	1.35
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.16	1.32	Watch
	3.1	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.65)	1.32 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajeet Rai
29.2%

Philip Sekulic
70.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajeet Rai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajeet Rai's form might have worsened.

Philip Sekulic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Philip Sekulic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajeet Rai than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajeet Rai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philip Sekulic than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Philip Sekulic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Ajeet Rai - Philip Sekulic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rai will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sekulic will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Rai is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sekulic is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rai could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sekulic is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajeet Rai
ATP Challenger
29.10.23	Ajeet Rai - Makoto Ochi	2:0 ✺
28.10.23	Ajeet Rai - Calum Puttergill	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Ajeet Rai - Jacob Bradshaw	0:2 ✺
22.10.23	Ajeet Rai - Zaharije-Zak Talic	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.10.23	Pavle Marinkov - Ajeet Rai	Rai A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLW?
- Philip Sekulic
ATP Challenger
25.10.23	Philip Sekulic - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
23.10.23	Blake Ellis - Philip Sekulic	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
14.10.23	Philip Sekulic - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.10.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.23	Philip Sekulic - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

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