Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: TOKYO (JAPAN) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Philip Sekulic		Christian Garin

	1	2
			Watch
	4.4	1.19
	4.4	1.18
	4.33	1.2
	4.65	1.21
	4.33	1.2	Watch
	4.4	1.18	Watch
	4.4	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↑ (3.1)	1.19 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philip Sekulic
21.3%

Christian Garin
78.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philip Sekulic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Philip Sekulic's form might have worsened.

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Christian Garin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philip Sekulic than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Philip Sekulic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Christian Garin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Philip Sekulic - Christian Garin Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sekulic will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Garin will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Sekulic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Garin is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philip Sekulic
ATP Challenger
10.10.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.23	Philip Sekulic - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
03.10.23	Arthur Weber - Philip Sekulic	0:2 ✺
02.10.23	Philip Sekulic - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
23.09.23	Philip Sekulic - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWL
- Christian Garin
ATP Shanghai
07.10.23	Christian Garin - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
04.10.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
27.09.23	Christian Garin - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
26.09.23	Christian Garin - Jie Cui	2:0 ✺
ATP Zhuhai
22.09.23	Christian Garin - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWL

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