Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Ningbo, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium


	Ajla Tomljanovic		Elena Rybakina

	1	2
	5.5	1.14	Watch
	5.4	1.14	Watch
	6	1.16
	5.09	1.15	Watch
	5.85	1.13	Watch
	1.9	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.96 ↑ (1.9)	1.27 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajla Tomljanovic
20.4%

Elena Rybakina
79.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajla Tomljanovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajla Tomljanovic's form might have worsened.

Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elena Rybakina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajla Tomljanovic than the current prediction. (+31.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajla Tomljanovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Rybakina than the current prediction. (-31.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elena Rybakina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Ajla Tomljanovic - Elena Rybakina Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tomljanovic will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Rybakina will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Tomljanovic (2.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ajla Tomljanovic will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tomljanovic (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tomljanovic is ranked WTA: 104. Rybakina is ranked WTA: 9.

Tomljanovic has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Rybakina has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Rybakina is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tomljanovic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajla Tomljanovic
WTA Ningbo
15.10.25	Ajla Tomljanovic - Zeynep Sonmez	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Clara Tauson - Ajla Tomljanovic	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Ajla Tomljanovic - Antonia Ruzic	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Maya Joint - Ajla Tomljanovic	1:2 ✺
WTA Wuhan
04.10.25	Ajla Tomljanovic - Varvara Gracheva	Tomljanovic A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WWWW?
- Elena Rybakina
WTA Ningbo
16.10.25	Dayana Yastremska - Elena Rybakina	1:2 ✺
WTA Wuhan
10.10.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Linda Noskova - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
08.10.25	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
27.09.25	Elena Rybakina - Eva Lys	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
30.08.23	Elena Rybakina - Ajla Tomljanovic	Rybakina E. walkover
WTA Wimbledon
06.07.22	Ajla Tomljanovic - Elena Rybakina	1:2
WTA Madrid
30.04.21	Ajla Tomljanovic - Elena Rybakina	0:2

Ajla Tomljanovic - Elena Rybakina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide