Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wuhan - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Ajla Tomljanovic		Varvara Gracheva

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.83
	1.85	1.8	Watch
	1.93	1.9
	1.88	1.88	Watch
	1.83	1.98	Watch
	1.9	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.87)	1.87 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajla Tomljanovic
49.8%

Varvara Gracheva
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajla Tomljanovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajla Tomljanovic than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Ajla Tomljanovic - Varvara Gracheva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tomljanovic is ranked WTA: 94. Gracheva is ranked WTA: 79.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Gracheva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tomljanovic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.4:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Varvara Gracheva - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50.13%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajla Tomljanovic
WTA Beijing
27.09.25	Ajla Tomljanovic - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Ajla Tomljanovic - Yulia Starodubtseva	2:0 ✺
WTA Sao Paulo
08.09.25	Ajla Tomljanovic - Victoria Rodriguez	Tomljanovic A. retired ✺
WTA US Open
26.08.25	Ajla Tomljanovic - Cori Gauff	1:2 ✺
WTA Monterrey
21.08.25	Ajla Tomljanovic - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LW?LL
- Varvara Gracheva
WTA Beijing
21.09.25	Varvara Gracheva - Lanlana Tararudee	0:2 ✺
WTA Seoul
12.09.25	Varvara Gracheva - Tatiana Prozorova	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
22.08.25	Varvara Gracheva - Ena Shibahara	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Varvara Gracheva - Tara Wurth	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Varvara Gracheva - Madison Brengle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roma
07.05.25	Varvara Gracheva - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:0
WTA Cincinnati
13.08.24	Ajla Tomljanovic - Varvara Gracheva	1:2
WTA Roland Garros
25.05.22	Ajla Tomljanovic - Varvara Gracheva	1:2
WTA Dubai
15.02.22	Ajla Tomljanovic - Varvara Gracheva	0:2
WTA Moscow
15.10.19	Varvara Gracheva - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:0

Ajla Tomljanovic - Varvara Gracheva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide