Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Hong Kong (Hong Kong), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday


	Ajla Tomljanovic		McCartney Kessler

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.7
	2.01	1.72	Watch
	2.15	1.72
	2.12	1.76	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.06	1.7	Watch
	2.01	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.84)	1.72 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajla Tomljanovic
45.6%

McCartney Kessler
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajla Tomljanovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

McCartney Kessler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajla Tomljanovic than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajla Tomljanovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for McCartney Kessler than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for McCartney Kessler, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Ajla Tomljanovic - McCartney Kessler Predictions

Users Predictions: McCartney Kessler will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tomljanovic is ranked WTA: 107. Kessler is ranked WTA: 65.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

McCartney Kessler - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.83%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajla Tomljanovic
ATP Challenger
03.10.24	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Ajla Tomljanovic	0:2 ✺
WTA Hong Kong
01.10.24	Ajla Tomljanovic - Marina Stakusic	2:1 ✺
WTA Beijing
25.09.24	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:1 ✺
WTA Seoul
19.09.24	Ajla Tomljanovic - Beatriz Haddad Maia	0:2 ✺
17.09.24	Ajla Tomljanovic - Su Jeong Jang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLLW
- McCartney Kessler
ATP Challenger
03.10.24	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - McCartney Kessler	0:2 ✺
WTA Hong Kong
01.10.24	Eudice Wong Chong - McCartney Kessler	0:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
25.09.24	Shuai Zhang - McCartney Kessler	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
26.08.24	McCartney Kessler - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
WTA Cleveland
24.08.24	Beatriz Haddad Maia - McCartney Kessler	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLW

Ajla Tomljanovic - McCartney Kessler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide