Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
New-zealand	Sky Sport NOW
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Elena Gabriela Ruse		Ajla Tomljanovic

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.68	2.19	Watch
	1.68	2.19	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.18	Watch
	1.66	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.9)	2.2 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elena Gabriela Ruse
56.7%

Ajla Tomljanovic
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elena Gabriela Ruse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elena Gabriela Ruse's performance.

Ajla Tomljanovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ajla Tomljanovic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Gabriela Ruse than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elena Gabriela Ruse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajla Tomljanovic than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajla Tomljanovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Elena Gabriela Ruse - Ajla Tomljanovic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruse (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tomljanovic (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ajla Tomljanovic will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ruse is ranked WTA: 79. Tomljanovic is ranked WTA: 78.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ruse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ruse won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Elena Gabriela Ruse - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elena Gabriela Ruse
WTA Australian Open
17.01.26	Dayana Yastremska - Elena Gabriela Ruse	0:2 ✺
WTA Adelaide
11.01.26	Anna Kalinskaya - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Katerina Siniakova - Elena Gabriela Ruse	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Katie Swan - Elena Gabriela Ruse	1:2 ✺
WTA Brisbane
03.01.26	Sofia Kenin - Elena Gabriela Ruse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWL
- Ajla Tomljanovic
WTA Australian Open
19.01.26	Yulia Starodubtseva - Ajla Tomljanovic	1:2 ✺
WTA Adelaide
14.01.26	Maya Joint - Ajla Tomljanovic	Tomljanovic A. retired ✺
11.01.26	Ajla Tomljanovic - Clara Tauson	Tauson C. retired ✺
WTA Brisbane
06.01.26	Karolina Muchova - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Elsa Jacquemot - Ajla Tomljanovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 W??LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.10.24	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Ajla Tomljanovic	0:2
WTA Dubai
14.02.22	Ajla Tomljanovic - Elena Gabriela Ruse	0:2

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