Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham 4, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday


	Lui Maxted		Antoine Ghibaudo

	1	2
			Watch
	2.10	1.65
	1.95	1.7	Watch
	2.32	1.66
	2.16	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.61	Watch
	2.22	1.59	Watch
	2.05	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.15)	1.64 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lui Maxted
43.3%

Antoine Ghibaudo
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lui Maxted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Antoine Ghibaudo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lui Maxted that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antoine Ghibaudo than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Antoine Ghibaudo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Lui Maxted - Antoine Ghibaudo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Maxted will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ghibaudo will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Maxted is ranked ATP: 405. Ghibaudo is ranked ATP: 298.

Maxted has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ghibaudo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Maxted may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maxted won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lui Maxted
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Lui Maxted - Daniil Ostapenkov	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Lui Maxted - Nikola Djukic	2:0 ✺
26.06.26	Tiago Torres - Lui Maxted	2:0 ✺
25.06.26	Alberto Barroso Campos - Lui Maxted	0:2 ✺
24.06.26	Albert Pedrico Kravtsov - Lui Maxted	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWW
- Antoine Ghibaudo
ATP Mallorca
21.06.26	Adam Walton - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.06.26	Oliver Okonkwo - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	James Watt - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Michael Zheng	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLL

Lui Maxted - Antoine Ghibaudo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide