Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Segovia, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday


	Akira Santillan		Mert Alkaya

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2.04	1.74
	2.08	1.82
	1.97	1.74	Watch
	2.01	1.80	Watch
	1.97	1.73	Watch
	1.99	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.7)	1.76 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akira Santillan
46.8%

Mert Alkaya
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akira Santillan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Akira Santillan's form might have worsened.

Mert Alkaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mert Alkaya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akira Santillan than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Akira Santillan - Mert Alkaya Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Santillan will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Alkaya will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Santillan is ranked ATP: 293. Alkaya is ranked ATP: 309.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Santillan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Akira Santillan - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akira Santillan
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Alastair Gray - Akira Santillan	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Chris Rodesch - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
17.07.26	Akira Santillan - Izan Almazan Valiente	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Hugo Grenier - Akira Santillan	Grenier H. Retired ✺
13.07.26	Akira Santillan - Alejandro Lopez Escribano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLW?W
- Mert Alkaya
ATP Challenger
20.07.26	Mert Alkaya - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Chris Rodesch - Mert Alkaya	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.07.26	Sebastian Dominko - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	Mert Alkaya - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2 ✺
27.06.26	Francisco Rocha - Mert Alkaya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLW

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