Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday


	Alafia Ayeni		Andres Martin

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.34	1.66
	2.24	1.58	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.23	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.7)	1.6 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alafia Ayeni
41.7%

Andres Martin
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alafia Ayeni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alafia Ayeni's performance.

Andres Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andres Martin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alafia Ayeni than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alafia Ayeni that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andres Martin than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andres Martin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alafia Ayeni - Andres Martin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ayeni is ranked ATP: 567. Martin is ranked ATP: 273.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Ayeni may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Martin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alafia Ayeni
ATP Challenger
18.03.26	Oliver Crawford - Alafia Ayeni	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Alafia Ayeni - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Alafia Ayeni - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Dan Martin - Alafia Ayeni	Martin D. retired ✺
16.02.26	Alafia Ayeni - Amit Vales	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWL?W
- Andres Martin
ATP Challenger
18.03.26	Alejandro Hayen - Andres Martin	1:2 ✺
16.03.26	Vadym Ursu - Andres Martin	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Blaise Bicknell - Andres Martin	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
21.02.26	Zachary Svajda - Andres Martin	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.02.26	Edward Winter - Andres Martin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLL

Alafia Ayeni - Andres Martin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide