Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelia - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Dan Martin		Alafia Ayeni

	1	2
			Watch
	2.27	1.56	Watch
	2.3	1.64
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.18	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.08)	1.61 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dan Martin
42%

Alafia Ayeni
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dan Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Alafia Ayeni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dan Martin than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alafia Ayeni than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Dan Martin - Alafia Ayeni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martin is ranked ATP: 386. Ayeni is ranked ATP: 567.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Martin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Martin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Dan Martin - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.83%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dan Martin
ATP Challenger
18.03.26	Dan Martin - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Federico Agustin Gomez - Dan Martin	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.03.26	Kacper Szymkowiak - Dan Martin	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Rares Teodor Pieleanu - Dan Martin	0:2 ✺
11.03.26	Jim Hendrikx - Dan Martin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLWW
- Alafia Ayeni
ATP Challenger
20.03.26	Alafia Ayeni - Andres Martin	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Oliver Crawford - Alafia Ayeni	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Alafia Ayeni - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Alafia Ayeni - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Dan Martin - Alafia Ayeni	Martin D. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.02.26	Dan Martin - Alafia Ayeni	Martin D. retired

Dan Martin - Alafia Ayeni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide