Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto 2 - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday


	Alafia Ayeni		Tiago Cacao

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.72
	2.05	1.65	Watch
	2.27	1.62
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.13	1.64	Watch
	2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.83)	1.67 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alafia Ayeni
44.4%

Tiago Cacao
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alafia Ayeni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alafia Ayeni's form might have worsened.

Tiago Cacao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tiago Cacao's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alafia Ayeni than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Cacao than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Alafia Ayeni - Tiago Cacao Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ayeni will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cacao will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ayeni is ranked ATP: 450. Cacao is ranked ATP: 663.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ayeni won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Alafia Ayeni - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alafia Ayeni
ATP Challenger
30.08.26	Alafia Ayeni - Adrien Burdet	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Alafia Ayeni - Patrick Brady	0:2 ✺
17.08.26	Alafia Ayeni - Patrick Brady	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Alafia Ayeni - Zach Stephens	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.08.26	Alafia Ayeni - Benjamin Pietri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLWL
- Tiago Cacao
ATP Challenger
30.08.26	Rodrigo Duarte - Tiago Cacao	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	Tiago Cacao - Fabrizio Andaloro	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.08.26	Tiago Cacao - Goncalo Marques	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Tiago Cacao - Philip Henning	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Francisco Rocha - Tiago Cacao	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.07.21	Alafia Ayeni - Tiago Cacao	2:0

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