Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Austin, TX, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday


	Alastair Gray		Sebastian Gorzny

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Alastair Gray
38.8%

Sebastian Gorzny
61.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alastair Gray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Sebastian Gorzny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alastair Gray than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Gorzny than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Gray is ranked ATP: 292., and Gorzny is ranked ATP: 413..

In recent outings, Gray has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Gorzny shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Gorzny is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Gorzny in today's match, at odds of 1.54.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alastair Gray
ITF Tournaments
15.10.26	Alastair Gray - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Alastair Gray - Spencer Johnson	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Alastair Gray - Patrick Maloney	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Alastair Gray - Maximus Jones	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	George Loffhagen - Alastair Gray	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLL
- Sebastian Gorzny
ITF Tournaments
15.10.26	Quinn Vandecasteele - Sebastian Gorzny	0:2 ✺
13.10.26	Sebastian Gorzny - Edward Winter	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.09.26	Tristan Boyer - Sebastian Gorzny	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Mitchell Krueger - Sebastian Gorzny	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Aidan Mayo - Sebastian Gorzny	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWW

Alastair Gray - Sebastian Gorzny: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide