Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Austin, TX, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday


	Lui Maxted		Roger Pascual Ferra

	1	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.05
	1.60	2.18
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.71	2.10
	1.67	2.00	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.08)	2.06 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lui Maxted
55.2%

Roger Pascual Ferra
44.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lui Maxted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lui Maxted's performance.

Roger Pascual Ferra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roger Pascual Ferra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lui Maxted that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roger Pascual Ferra than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roger Pascual Ferra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lui Maxted - Roger Pascual Ferra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Maxted is ranked ATP: 394., and Pascual Ferra is ranked ATP: 652..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lui Maxted
ITF Tournaments
14.10.26	Lui Maxted - Aidan Kim	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Luca Potenza - Lui Maxted	Maxted L. Retired ✺
27.09.26	Francisco Rocha - Lui Maxted	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.09.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Lui Maxted	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Tyler Stice - Lui Maxted	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 W?WLW
- Roger Pascual Ferra
ITF Tournaments
14.10.26	Roger Pascual Ferra - Tomasz Berkieta	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Luca Staeheli - Roger Pascual Ferra	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Roger Pascual Ferra - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.26	Roger Pascual Ferra - Dhakshineswar Suresh	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Kenta Miyoshi - Roger Pascual Ferra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lui Maxted
ITF Tournaments
16.10.26	Lui Maxted - Andrew Fenty	✺

Lui Maxted - Roger Pascual Ferra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide