Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Diego 2 - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday


	Aidan Mayo		Sebastian Gorzny

	1	2
			Watch
	1.87	1.80
	1.78	1.92	Watch
	1.86	1.84	Watch
	1.95	1.80
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.90	1.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.84)	1.83 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aidan Mayo
49.5%

Sebastian Gorzny
50.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aidan Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Sebastian Gorzny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aidan Mayo than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Gorzny than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Aidan Mayo - Sebastian Gorzny Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mayo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mayo is ranked ATP: 362., and Gorzny is ranked ATP: 484..

Mayo is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Gorzny have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Mayo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Aidan Mayo - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aidan Mayo
ATP Challenger
20.09.26	Aidan Mayo - Jordan Lee	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Aidan Mayo - Ryan Seggerman	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Aidan Mayo - Andres Andrade	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Aidan Mayo - Luis Guto Miguel	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Aidan Mayo - Andres Martin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWW
- Sebastian Gorzny
ATP Challenger
20.09.26	Andrew Johnson - Sebastian Gorzny	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	Jeffrey John Wolf - Sebastian Gorzny	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Sebastian Gorzny - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Luca Staeheli - Sebastian Gorzny	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Daniil Medvedev - Sebastian Gorzny	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Gorzny
ITF Tournaments
16.10.26	Alastair Gray - Sebastian Gorzny	✺

Aidan Mayo - Sebastian Gorzny: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide