Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Aix en Provence, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday


	Albert Ramos-Vinolas		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.48	Watch
	2.4	1.47	Watch
	2.61	1.51
	2.51	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.51	1.49	Watch
	2.4	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.81)	1.49 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albert Ramos-Vinolas
37.5%

Mattia Bellucci
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albert Ramos-Vinolas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albert Ramos-Vinolas than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Albert Ramos-Vinolas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mattia Bellucci could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Albert Ramos Vinolas - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ramos-Vinolas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ramos-Vinolas is ranked ATP: 233. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 66.

Recent matches Ramos-Vinolas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games, wins - 2).

Bellucci is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 1).

Ramos-Vinolas could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.

In this match, Bellucci is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albert Ramos-Vinolas
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Titouan Droguet - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	Droguet T. retired ✺
28.04.25	Florent Bax - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
14.04.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.25	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 ?WLLW
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Madrid
24.04.25	Damir Dzumhur - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
12.04.25	Mattia Bellucci - Borna Coric	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.25	Fabian Marozsan - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Cameron Norrie - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
04.04.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL

Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Mattia Bellucci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide