Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Ben Shelton

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.3	1.32	Watch
	3.42	1.36
	3.31	1.33	Watch
	3.31	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (2.77)	1.33 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
28.3%

Ben Shelton
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ben Shelton Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Davidovich Fokina (1.52) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 Games - Shelton (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Davidovich Fokina (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ben Shelton will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ben Shelton will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Davidovich Fokina (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Shelton (votes: 8 - 61.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 26. Shelton is ranked ATP: 8.

Recent performances by Davidovich Fokina have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shelton is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Davidovich Fokina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Shelton is a strong favorite.

We predict that Shelton will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Davidovich Fokina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Washington
25.07.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
24.07.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jaume Munar	2:0 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
17.07.25	James Duckworth - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLL
- Ben Shelton
ATP Washington
25.07.25	Ben Shelton - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Ben Shelton - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Ben Shelton - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
09.07.25	Jannik Sinner - Ben Shelton	3:0 ✺
07.07.25	Ben Shelton - Lorenzo Sonego	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ben Shelton	2:1
ATP Paris
30.10.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ben Shelton	2:1

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